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Japan's Inflation Rate Remains Above BOJ's Target for 19th Consecutive Month

Speculation grows over potential policy shift as BOJ maintains inflation is driven by global factors, not domestic demand.

  • Japan's core consumer price index (CPI), excluding fresh food, rose to 2.9% in October, marking the 19th consecutive month above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 2% inflation target.
  • The BOJ maintains that the inflation is driven by higher global commodity prices and a weaker yen, rather than sustainable price gains led by stronger domestic demand and wage growth.
  • Speculation is growing that the BOJ may soon exit its negative interest rate policy and yield curve control, which sets a 0% cap for the 10-year bond yield.
  • The BOJ has dismissed such speculation, arguing that the current global cost-push inflation is not sustainable and that healthy wage growth is needed to spur domestic demand and prices in a stable and sustainable manner.
  • The latest inflation data will be among the indicators the BOJ will consider at its two-day policy meeting ending on December 19.
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