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Japan’s Bond Rout Deepens After Snap Election Pledges, Lifting Global Yields

Campaign promises are reviving doubts about how Japan will fund an already heavy debt load.

Overview

  • Long-dated JGB yields surged, with the 40-year touching 4% for the first time and the 30-year setting new highs, while the 10-year hit its highest since 1999.
  • A 20-year auction saw weak demand and dealers reported no buyers, accelerating a regime-style repricing at the long end.
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi set a Feb. 8 snap election and pledged measures such as a two-year food levy suspension that Reuters estimates would cost about ¥5 trillion annually.
  • U.S. Treasury yields climbed to four-month highs, and strategists said higher JGB returns make Treasuries less attractive on a hedged basis and may prompt capital to stay in Japan.
  • Japan’s government said it is watching long-term rate moves closely, while the yen slid and stocks pulled back on rising fiscal concerns.