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Japan Sets Record ¥122 Trillion Budget Plan, Moves to Curb Super‑Long Bond Supply

Cabinet approval is expected Friday following higher growth forecasts, with a goal to keep new issuance below ¥30 trillion.

People walk in front of the Bank of Japan building in Tokyo, Japan January 23, 2024. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
People walk at a shopping area of Shinjuku in Tokyo, Japan, September 11, 2025.     REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch
Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi speaks to the media after a telephone call with U.S. President Donald Trump, at her official residence in Tokyo, Japan, November 25, 2025. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
Pedestrians walk past an electronic board displaying various companies' share prices, at a business district in Tokyo, Japan, October 31, 2023. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon

Overview

  • Draft budget totals about ¥122.3 trillion with roughly ¥29.6 trillion in new government bonds and projected tax revenue of around ¥83.7 trillion.
  • Finance ministry plans to cut issuance of 20‑, 30‑ and 40‑year JGBs to about ¥17 trillion next fiscal year and keep 10‑year supply unchanged.
  • The shift responds to market strain, with 30‑year yields touching a record near 3.45% as investors fret over debt oversupply.
  • Spending priorities include about ¥39 trillion for social security, roughly ¥8.8 trillion for defense, and around ¥31 trillion for debt service.
  • The government upgraded growth projections to 1.1% for the current fiscal year and 1.3% for fiscal 2026, building on a ¥21.3 trillion stimulus compiled in November.