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Japan Lifts Q2 Growth to 2.2% as PM Ishiba Resigns, Yen Slips

A stronger reading refocuses attention on BOJ timing following the implementation of U.S.-Japan auto tariff cuts.

Overview

  • Revised Cabinet Office data show GDP grew at a 2.2% annualised pace in April–June, or 0.5% quarter on quarter.
  • Private consumption rose 0.4% and capital expenditure increased 0.6%, with the investment figure revised down from the initial estimate.
  • Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigned on Sunday, introducing political uncertainty that could complicate policymaking.
  • The yen weakened after the resignation, with USD/JPY quoted around 148.10 as traders assessed the risk of slower BOJ tightening.
  • Tokyo and Washington formalised lower tariffs on Japanese auto imports, offering export support as markets look to July–September GDP and upcoming Chinese trade data for confirmation of momentum.