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Japan Identifies China’s Southwestern Military Expansion as Top Strategic Threat

Tokyo’s annual report draws on tripled Chinese warship transits to the Pacific, deepening Sino-Russian drills and North Korean missile advances to justify bolstered island defenses

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Overview

  • The 2025 defense white paper names China’s rapid build-up around its Nansei islands into Pacific waters as Japan’s foremost strategic challenge.
  • Chinese warship transits off southwestern Japan have tripled over three years, including frequent passages between Taiwan and Yonaguni.
  • Joint exercises by China and Russia are highlighted as intensifying risks amid growing cross-strait tensions.
  • North Korea’s deployment of nuclear-capable and solid-fuel missiles is deemed an increasingly serious and imminent threat.
  • Japan has accelerated troop deployments on its southwestern islands, plans to station long-range cruise missiles and lodged protests over close-call Chinese fighter jet confrontations.