Overview

• The new champion will be crowned on October 25 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi in the UFC 321 co-main event.
• Opening odds of Jandiroba -215 and Dern +164 have narrowed to roughly Jandiroba near -120 to -130 and Dern around even money, with FanDuel listing -130 and +102.
• Mackenzie Dern won their first meeting at UFC 256 by unanimous decision with all three judges scoring it 29-28.
• Both contenders are elite grapplers with high submission rates, and betting markets price submission outcomes prominently.
• Jandiroba arrives as the No. 1 contender on a five-fight win streak, while Dern has two straight victories, with some analysis pointing to five-round conditioning as a potential edge for Jandiroba.