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Jamie Dimon Warns of Stagflation Risks and Rising Recession Odds in 2025

In his annual shareholder letter, the JPMorgan CEO highlights economic threats from tariffs, trade wars, and inflation while questioning optimism about a 'soft landing.'

CEO of Chase Jamie Dimon looks on as he attends the seventh "Choose France Summit", aiming to attract foreign investors to the country, at the Chateau de Versailles, outside Paris, on May 13, 2024. LUDOVIC MARIN/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo
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Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, is skeptical about cryptocurrencies, specifically Bitcoin.

Overview

  • Jamie Dimon warns that U.S. tariffs and global trade wars could slow economic growth, fuel inflation, and harm long-term economic alliances.
  • Dimon highlights the risk of stagflation, citing high fiscal deficits, geopolitical tensions, and infrastructure investments as contributing factors.
  • JPMorgan economists have raised the probability of a U.S. and global recession in 2025 to 60%, reflecting heightened economic uncertainty.
  • Dimon critiques market optimism, suggesting equity valuations remain high and a 'soft landing' for the economy is far from guaranteed.
  • Despite economic turbulence, JPMorgan Chase achieved record profits of $58.5 billion in 2024, underscoring its resilience.