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Jaguars at Colts: Odds Favor Jacksonville as Simulations Predict a Close Game

SportsLine projects a 27-23 Jacksonville win with Indianapolis more likely to cover the spread.

Overview

  • Kickoff is Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium, with FOX carrying the broadcast and streaming available on Fubo.
  • DraftKings lists Jacksonville as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5.
  • The SportsLine model, after 10,000 simulations, gives Indianapolis a 55% chance to cover and a 41% chance to win outright.
  • Jacksonville won the first meeting 36-19 and enters on an offensive surge, averaging 39.3 points over the past three games with Trevor Lawrence throwing 10 touchdowns and no interceptions.
  • Indianapolis has slid after an 8-2 start and faces long playoff odds, with 44-year-old Philip Rivers starting again as the team tries to halt a five-game skid.