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Italy’s Ottobrata Holds Through Weekend as Island Showers Emerge, Colder Shift Possible Next Week

Warmth persists under a resilient high centered near England.

Overview

  • Daytime highs commonly reach 23–27°C through Sunday, with coastal waters unusually mild around 23–24°C at spots such as Cala Mariolu and San Vito lo Capo, according to iLMeteo.it.
  • A small depression between Sardinia and Sicily today is set to trigger irregular showers that may localize as intense on the two main islands, forecasters say.
  • Clear, late‑summer‑like conditions dominate elsewhere, though some cloud cover lingers over the South under the broader high‑pressure regime.
  • Model guidance points to a continental cold intrusion around October 14–15, with a notable temperature drop—especially overnight—though recent updates temper the severity compared with earlier runs.
  • Several outlets flag the potential formation of a Mediterranean cyclone near Sardinia after the cooldown, a scenario that could focus heavy rain and strong winds on the islands and Tyrrhenian areas, with details still uncertain.