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Italy’s GDP per Capita Matches France’s Level in 2025, EU Forecasts Show

Population decline has lifted per-person output to French levels despite declining worker productivity.

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Overview

  • EU Commission forecasts place Italy’s 2025 GDP per capita at purchasing-power parity with France’s.
  • The gap with Germany has more than halved from 24.3% in 2020 to 13.9% in 2025.
  • Italy’s population grew by just 3.6% between 2000 and 2024, artificially inflating per-person GDP through a shrinking denominator.
  • Lower living costs in small towns and peripheral regions enhance Italians’ real purchasing power relative to major European cities.
  • GDP per employee declined 5.8% between 2020 and 2024 even as employment growth matched that of France and Germany.