Overview
- With one match remaining, Norway lead Group I on 21 points to Italy’s 18, separated decisively by goal difference (+29 to +12).
- Italy would need to beat Norway by at least nine goals to finish above them on goal difference and qualify directly.
- Norway have dominated the group with seven wins, 33 goals scored and only four conceded, led by 14 goals from Erling Haaland.
- Bookmakers list Italy as the home favorite at San Siro, yet price a 9-0 scoreline for the Azzurri at triple-digit odds, reflecting the scenario’s extreme improbability.
- Sunday’s match kicks off at 20:45 in Milan, with coverage pointing to a likely March playoff route for Italy despite a recent win in Moldova keeping hopes alive.