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Italy Posts Modest Q2 Growth Driven by Services

Istat’s preliminary reading raises 2026’s acquired growth to 0.8% while persistent manufacturing weakness and weak foreign demand threaten further acceleration.

Overview

  • Istat reported that Italy’s GDP rose 0.2% from the previous quarter and 1.0% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, according to the preliminary estimate released on July 30.
  • The quarter-on-quarter gain was entirely driven by the services sector while industrial value added and agriculture declined.
  • Domestic demand excluding inventories made a positive contribution to growth, while net foreign demand subtracted from the headline figure.
  • Istat raised the year’s growth acquired from 0.6% to 0.8%, but stressed the estimate is preliminary, based on data available within 30 days and adjusted for working-day differences.
  • Compared with faster expansion in the euro area, the print highlights risks that ongoing weakness in manufacturing and weak export demand could keep job and investment gains in factories subdued.