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Italy Need Nine-Goal Win Against Norway to Avoid Play-Off Route

Pre-match plans center on lineup management to protect suspensions before the San Siro finale.

Overview

  • Norway lead Group I with seven wins and a +29 goal difference after a 4-1 defeat of Estonia, leaving a nine-goal margin as Italy’s only path to top spot.
  • The match kicks off at 19:45 GMT at San Siro, with coverage on Fox Sports 1 in the U.S. and Amazon Prime PPV in the UK.
  • Gennaro Gattuso is set to deploy a 3-5-2 with Davide Frattesi in the XI, Riccardo Calafiori ruled out by a hip issue, and Sandro Tonali rested to avoid a play-off suspension.
  • Erling Haaland tops European qualifying with 14 goals, as Norway enter the finale with a 3-0 June win over Italy and just four goals conceded in the campaign.
  • If Italy finish second, they move to March’s single-leg European play-offs, with a Zurich draw due later this week and a likely top seeding that would grant home ties.