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Italy Hones 2026 Budget With Targeted Tax Cut, Bank Contribution Talks, Tighter Tax-Debt Plan

Watchdogs warn of scant fiscal room with defence costs only partly covered.

Overview

  • Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti outlined a roughly €16 billion package that keeps deficit reduction on track, saying the deficit-to-GDP ratio should fall below 3% from 2026.
  • A new ‘rottamazione quinquies’ is being drafted with 96 equal instalments over eight years and minimum payments around €50, with exclusions for serial non‑payers and possible readmission of those who previously lapsed; the rule for losing the benefit and a proposed 5% down payment for large debts remain under discussion.
  • The plan includes a cut of the 35% IRPEF bracket to 33% for incomes between €28,000 and €50,000, a selective extension of the 50% home-renovation deduction, support for paid parental leave, and a narrowly targeted freeze of the three‑month pension age increase for specific categories.
  • Giorgetti said the government will seek a concerted, non‑punitive contribution from banks to help finance the measures, paired with tighter checks on state loan guarantees.
  • Bank of Italy and the Parliamentary Budget Office cautioned that defence outlays are only partly embedded and that near‑full use of available fiscal space heightens risks; Giorgetti said defence will be funded via an EU safeguard once Italy exits the excessive‑deficit procedure, not by cutting social or health spending.