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Italy Braces for Early-Week Storms Before Late-Week September Warm Spell

Forecasts emphasize sharp regional contrasts with lower confidence past five days.

Overview

  • An Atlantic front is forecast to trigger heavy rain, strong thunderstorms and hail between Monday and Tuesday, chiefly across northern and central regions.
  • Models highlight higher risk for intense cells over Lombardy, Piedmont, Veneto, Friuli Venezia Giulia and the Ligurian Levant, with Tuscany and northern Lazio also in focus.
  • Temperatures are projected to dip in the affected areas, with highs near 22–25°C in parts of the North, while the far South stays near or above 30°C.
  • Conditions are expected to improve from midweek as high pressure rebuilds from Thursday, setting up a short 'estate settembrina' into the first weekend of September.
  • IlMeteo guidance anticipates weekend peaks above 30°C in the North and around 34–35°C in the South, though persistence beyond roughly five days remains uncertain.