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Italian Pasta Brands Brace for 107% U.S. Duties After Preliminary Dumping Finding

A final Commerce ruling expected by late December or January could trigger steep price increases or product pullbacks in early 2026.

Overview

  • The Commerce Department’s September preliminary decision proposes a 91.74% anti-dumping duty on 13 Italian producers, on top of the existing 15% tariff on EU goods for an effective rate near 107%.
  • Officials said La Molisana and Pasta Garofalo failed to provide requested data and applied a uniform rate to all 13 firms, a methodology the companies dispute as based on errors such as treating net prices as gross.
  • Italian exporters and industry groups warn the duties could make sales in the U.S. uneconomical, with some preparing to halt shipments or raise prices if the rates take effect in January 2026.
  • Rummo’s U.S. executive said the company aims to keep products on shelves even as costs rise, while Barilla is assessed to be less exposed because it produces pasta for the U.S. market domestically.
  • Italy has formed a task force to fight the levy and EU trade chief Maroš Šefčovič signaled possible WTO action, as U.S. retailers and importers ready for potential supply disruptions and higher shelf prices.