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Italian Households Plan Higher Spending Despite Wage Erosion and Industrial Slump

Households are boosting consumption plans even as real wages remain 7.5% below early 2021 levels under growing global uncertainty

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Overview

  • Consumer confidence has more than halved since 2023, dropping to a 10.8 point balance, yet 43.3% of families increased consumption in 2024 while over half saw savings fall
  • Italy has recorded the largest real wage decline in the OECD with early 2025 wages still 7.5% below early 2021 levels despite modest gains since late 2023
  • Employment reached record highs in May with the unemployment rate holding at 6.5%, highlighting continued labour market strength
  • Industrial production returned to contraction in May with a 0.7% month-on-month drop driven by significant losses in automotive and pharmaceutical output
  • Escalating geopolitical tensions and shifting U.S. trade policies have heightened uncertainty and are weighing on Italy’s export-driven sectors