Overview

• Russian General Staff chief Valery Gerasimov claimed more than 3,500 square kilometers and 149 settlements captured since March.
• ISW’s open‑source review estimates roughly 2,346 square kilometers and about 130 settlements, and it disputes a 50% control claim for Kupyansk, putting it near 6.3%.
• Ukraine’s General Staff rejected Moscow’s account as propaganda, saying the seasonal push achieved “practically nothing” and took no large city.
• Ukraine reported 142 Russian drones launched overnight, most intercepted, with strikes on four energy sites in Odesa region cutting power to about 29,000 people in Chornomorsk.
• Independent media tallies based on a Russian registry indicate very high Russian deaths — at least 93,000 in 2024 and an estimated 56,000 in the first eight months of 2025 — and Zelensky said new deep strikes inside Russia have been planned.