Overview
- The report estimates a net population loss of roughly 37,000 in 2025, driven primarily by re-migration of former immigrants alongside rising departures of native-born Israelis.
- Net migration turned negative in 2024 by about 26,000 people, and the think tank estimates the negative balance expanded in 2025 as immigration and return migration declined to multi-year lows.
- Fertility is falling across population groups, with projections of about 1.7 children per woman for secular and traditional Jewish women, around 2.3 for religious Jewish women, and roughly 4.3 in the haredi community over the next decade.
- Despite life expectancy near 83.7 years, annual deaths are forecast to climb by about 77% by 2040 as larger cohorts enter older age.
- The study warns that maintaining even modest population growth will require attracting large numbers of immigrants.