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Israel-Iran Clash and Trump's Trade Stance Roil Markets as Dollar Slumps

Federal Reserve hold on rates underscores fears of slowing growth alongside stubborn inflation pressures.

Traders sur le parquet du New York Stock Exchange le 16 juin 2025.
Un opérateur à la Bourse de New York le 18 juin 2025.
La Fed n’a pas abaissé ses taux ce mercredi 18 juin.
La Banque d'Angleterre, le 2 novembre 2022 à Londres

Overview

  • Escalation of Israel-Iran hostilities has kept investor sentiment subdued as markets weigh the potential for a broader regional conflict.
  • The US dollar has slid about 10% against the euro over six months because of uncertainty over Trump's reciprocal tariff threats and concerns about mounting US debt.
  • The Federal Reserve held its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting and projected 1.4% GDP growth and 3% inflation for 2025.
  • Gold has surged nearly 30% year-to-date, while Bitcoin has climbed about 60% over the past year as investors seek safe-haven assets.
  • Jamie Dimon warned that high US debt levels pose a significant risk to financial stability, with 30-year Treasury yields topping 5% in late May.