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Israel Erodes Iran’s Missile Arsenal After Securing Air Superiority

Israeli air assaults have slashed Iran’s missile reserves, crippling launch and production facilities; renewed ceasefire appeals are mounting.

A motorcyclist observes an Iranian Sejjil solid-fueled medium-range ballistic missile on display at a square in southern Tehran during a military exhibition, September 26, 2023.

Overview

  • Since June 13’s Operation Rising Lion, Israeli strikes have destroyed 120 of Iran’s missile launchers, about one-third of its known arsenal.
  • Iran has launched roughly 400 missiles at Israel so far, but Israel’s defenses have intercepted over 90 percent, limiting ground impact to 35 warheads.
  • Israel announced it achieved air superiority over Tehran ahead of schedule, enabling targeted attacks on missile production plants and military communication centers.
  • Estimations place Iran’s original stock of around 2,000 medium-range ballistic missiles at between 300 and 1,300 remaining, reflecting steep depletion.
  • Israel’s nightly missile defense bills, estimated at $285 million, and US-led diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire are shaping a potential de-escalation path.