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Islam’s Share of Global Population Rises as Christianity’s Declines

Islam’s rapid growth is driven by younger populations with higher fertility rates, potentially leading it to surpass Christianity in size.

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Overview

  • Between 2010 and 2020, Christianity’s share of the global population fell by 1.8 percentage points even as its total adherents climbed to 2.3 billion.
  • Islam’s global share rose by 1.8 points to 25.6 percent, underpinned by a median age of 24 and higher birthrates in key regions.
  • Nearly a quarter of people worldwide now identify as unaffiliated with any religion, a rise largely propelled by former Christians and concentrated in China.
  • Sub-Saharan Africa has overtaken Europe as the region with the largest share of Christians, reflecting high fertility and a youthful demographic profile.
  • Pew Research Center projects that if current trends continue, Islam could become the world’s largest religion within coming decades.