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Ishiba’s Ruling Coalition Loses Upper House Majority

The loss deepens political uncertainty just ahead of an August 1 deadline to finalize a US trade deal.

Shigeru Ishiba on Monday vowed to stay in his role as Japan's Prime Minister, despite disappointing election results.
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Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba attends a press conference at the headquarters of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Tokyo on July 21, 2025, the day after the prime minister's coalition lost its upper house majority.
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Overview

  • The coalition won 47 of the 125 contested upper house seats, leaving it short of the 50 needed for a majority.
  • The coalition now holds 122 of the Diet’s 248 seats and must secure opposition backing to pass legislation.
  • Ishiba signaled he would remain in office despite growing dissent within his party.
  • President Trump has threatened to impose 25 percent tariffs on Japanese exports if no trade deal is reached by August 1.
  • The far-right Sanseito party expanded its upper house presence from one seat to an estimated 10–15 seats as voters protested rising living costs.