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Ishiba’s Fate Hinges on Trump’s 15% Tariff Deal

He is reviewing the $550 billion deal’s fine print to decide whether to resign under party pressure ahead of the August 1 deadline.

Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba attends a press conference at the headquarters of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Tokyo on July 21, 2025, the day after the prime minister's coalition lost its upper house majority.     PHILIP FONG/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo
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Overview

  • President Trump announced on July 23 that the U.S. and Japan struck a deal setting reciprocal tariffs at 15% backed by $550 billion in U.S. investments.
  • Ishiba has said he will withhold any resignation decision until he examines the trade agreement’s detailed terms.
  • The prime minister plans to meet former LDP leaders Taro Aso, Fumio Kishida and Yoshihide Suga to shore up support.
  • Local LDP chapters and veteran lawmakers have intensified calls for Ishiba to step down following the coalition’s loss of its upper house majority.
  • A leadership contest under a minority government would struggle to secure enough votes, heightening the risk of legislative gridlock.