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Iron Ore Nudges Higher in Dalian as Steel Output Firms and Policy Hopes Linger

Hopes for late-December policy support are propping sentiment despite a still-weak property backdrop.

Overview

  • The most-traded January iron ore on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.26% to 772.5 yuan a ton, marking a third straight daily gain.
  • Singapore’s December benchmark slipped 0.33% to $102.45 a ton, underscoring divergence between onshore and offshore pricing.
  • Mysteel reported average daily hot-metal production up 1.1% week on week to 2.37 million tons in the week of Nov. 13, signaling firm near-term demand.
  • Analysts said both benchmarks were up about 1% on the week, with sentiment supported by expectations for potential stimulus signals at the late-December Politburo meeting.
  • Nanhua Futures highlighted sharply lower metallurgical coal costs and reduced shipments as near-term supports, while ample port inventories and seasonal winter slowdowns could heighten price volatility.