Overview
- Preliminary projections show Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s list leading but short of a majority, foreshadowing extended bargaining to form a government.
- Turnout was reported at roughly 55% of 21 million registered voters, surpassing gloomy forecasts despite disillusionment, vote-buying allegations, and a Sadrist boycott.
- Senior U.S. officials held talks in Baghdad on the future security relationship and continue to urge action against Iran-aligned armed groups linked to the Popular Mobilisation Forces.
- Analysts warn Israel’s campaign against Iranian proxies elsewhere raises the risk that PMF factions in Iraq could face future targeting, adding pressure on the next cabinet.
- Early counts indicate strong performances by the KDP and PUK in Kurdish and disputed areas, while initial Baghdad tallies show gains for Sudani’s list alongside seats for blocs tied to Badr, Asaib Ahl al Haq, and Kataib Hezbollah’s Rights slate.