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Iran Weighs Blockade of Strait of Hormuz With Oil Markets on Edge

Iran’s highest security council must still approve parliament’s call to close the critical corridor, fueling market uncertainty.

Oil tankers pass through the Strait of Hormuz in 2018.
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Overview

  • Iran’s parliament approved a nonbinding vote to block the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for US airstrikes, but the decision now rests with the Supreme National Security Council.
  • Oil futures initially fell after Tehran’s first response did not target the strait, yet traders remain unsettled by the prospect of losing about 20 percent of global oil flows.
  • AIS tracking showed several tankers rerouting from the Gulf of Oman, reflecting shipping firms’ caution over a potential blockade.
  • Goldman Sachs and other analysts forecast Brent crude could jump to between $110 and $130 per barrel if the waterway is sealed.
  • Washington has urged China to press Tehran against a shutdown, and Australia faces particular exposure due to limited naval assets and low fuel stockpiles.