Overview
- The IAEA says roughly 400 kilograms of uranium enriched to about 60 percent likely survived the June strikes, but the agency cannot verify its status with access denied to Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan.
- Iran confirms limited inspector visits to select facilities while continuing to block entry to key sites, leaving an expanded verification gap as the JCPOA-era safeguards have lapsed.
- Analysts report Iran is pushing missile factories to operate around the clock with the stated aim of enabling salvos of about 2,000 missiles to overwhelm Israeli defenses in any future conflict.
- Tehran signals conditional openness to indirect talks and denies seeking nuclear weapons, yet rejects a full halt to enrichment and says negotiations cannot serve as pressure after renewed UN sanctions.
- Israeli officials view the June campaign as unfinished, satellite imagery points to construction at the deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain complex, and experts warn another Israel–Iran confrontation is increasingly likely.