Overview
- Fratelli d’Italia remains first at 28% in Ipsos’s November tracking, with the Democratic Party up to 21.6% (+0.7).
- The Lega rises to 8.9%, edging Forza Italia at 8.6%, a move linked by analysts to regional dynamics in Veneto and Luca Zaia’s draw.
- The Five Star Movement holds at 13.5% and the Greens–Left Alliance is steady at 6.3%, underscoring broadly stable voting intentions.
- Aggregate scenarios suggest the centre-right leads a potential broad opposition by roughly one point, reinforcing the competitiveness of a united front.
- Government approval slips two points to 40% and Giorgia Meloni’s rating dips to 42%, while Elly Schlein gains two points, and debate over electoral law changes is being reported following the regional results.