Overview
- The Ipsos poll published June 27 shows Fratelli d'Italia at 27%, Forza Italia 8.3%, the Lega 5.6% and Futuro Nazionale at 6%, marking the first time Ipsos records Vannacci overtaking the Lega.
- Ipsos coalition arithmetic puts the current government bloc at about 41.7% versus a progressive bloc at 44.5%, but adding Futuro Nazionale would lift the conservative total to roughly 47.7%, a change that could determine who governs after the 2027 vote.
- Matteo Salvini publicly rejected a formal alliance with Vannacci at the Lega Giovani event in Milano Marittima and has signalled a unified campaign push with Zaia and Fedriga to rebuild the party's standing.
- Giorgia Meloni and the government recorded a small approval rise in the Ipsos snapshot, with Meloni at 44% and the government at 42%, a move commentators linked to recent high‑profile controversies.
- Coverage shows early grassroots tensions: Lega youth speakers say they feel betrayed by Vannacci, social‑media posts record some disaffection among his supporters, and other poll firms give different short‑term figures, leaving the centre‑right’s strategy uncertain going into 2027.