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iPhone 17 Launch Outpaces iPhone 16 by 14% in U.S. and China

Counterpoint credits value-focused upgrades in China plus richer U.S. carrier subsidies for the outperformance.

Overview

  • Counterpoint Research reports the iPhone 17 lineup sold 14% more units than iPhone 16 models in the first 10 days across the U.S. and China.
  • The base iPhone 17 nearly doubled sell-through in China versus last year’s entry model, with overall base-model sales up about 31% on stronger specs at the same price.
  • In the U.S., the iPhone 17 Pro Max is ramping faster as major carriers lifted top trade‑in subsidies by roughly $100, tilting demand toward the premium tier.
  • Supply-watchers told the Financial Times that delivery wait times are about 13% longer than last year, a typical sign that initial demand overshot forecasts.
  • Analysts have nudged expectations higher, with Visible Alpha pointing to roughly 4% iPhone revenue growth this fiscal year, even as some firms such as Jefferies urge caution on sustainability.