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4h ago

Iowa Favored as Heartland Trophy Goes on the Line at Wisconsin Tonight

Forecasts tilt toward Iowa due to Mark Gronowski’s expected availability against a Badgers team built on run defense.

Dilin Jones #7 of the Wisconsin Badgers plays against the Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium on October 04, 2025 in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 7 p.m. ET (6 p.m. CT) at Camp Randall Stadium, with national TV coverage on FS1.
  • Betting and analytics lean Iowa’s way, with the line near Iowa -3.5 and ESPN’s SP+ and FPI projecting narrow Hawkeye wins.
  • Iowa anticipates quarterback Mark Gronowski will play after practicing this week, framing him as a key variable for an offense showing incremental gains.
  • Wisconsin’s strength remains its top-five run defense at roughly 75 rushing yards allowed per game, the best mark in the Big Ten.
  • Offensive uncertainty persists for Wisconsin due to line injuries, though recent starter Hunter Simmons showed encouraging flashes in the loss at Michigan, and CFN forecasts a low-scoring Iowa win at 23-13.