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Investors Pivot From U.S. Treasuries as Senate Poised to Pass Trump’s $3.3 Trillion Bill

Investors are shifting into European, Australian and Singapore bonds as surging deficits raise U.S. risk premiums.

Overview

  • The Senate is poised to pass President Trump’s tax and spending measure, which the CBO estimates will boost federal debt by $3.3 trillion.
  • Nonpartisan analysts project the legislation could add up to $5 trillion to U.S. debt over the next decade.
  • Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating in May, citing runaway deficits and mounting government debt.
  • Treasury International Capital data show a net $14.2 billion withdrawal of foreign funds from U.S. debt markets in April.
  • BlackRock and other asset managers recommend diversifying into European, Australian and Singapore sovereign bonds as rising U.S. deficits decouple Treasury yields from Fed policy.