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Invest 93L Nears Gulf With 40% Chance of Becoming Tropical Storm Dexter

Orlando International Airport’s hundreds of flight delays under relentless downpours signal a growing Gulf Coast flood risk.

A map from the NHC shows there is a 40 percent chance Tropical Storm Dexter will form within 48 hours.
Invest 93L, seen in this weather satellite photo as a cluster of clouds off Florida’s Atlantic coast Tuesday morning, has produced downpours across the Sunshine State. The tropical disturbance is expected to push across the peninsula and emerge over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday morning.
Here is a weather satellite view of a tropical disturbance over northern Florida, as of 10:30 a.m. Tuesday.
A pedestrian makes his way along a street during a rain shower Tuesday, July 15, 2025, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Photo/John Raoux)

Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center raised the disturbance’s development odds to 40% over the next two to seven days as it moves across Florida toward the northeastern Gulf.
  • Rain gauges near Plant City recorded over ten inches of rain, contributing to widespread localized flooding in central Florida.
  • More than 250 flights at Orlando International Airport faced delays Monday, reflecting the system’s current impact on regional travel.
  • Forecast models project the low will enter the northeastern Gulf by midweek in warm, low-shear waters conducive to organization into Tropical Storm Dexter.
  • Even without cyclonic development, multiple rounds of heavy rain threaten flash flooding across Florida this week and along the north-central Gulf Coast.