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Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS Nears Mars as Rubin Observatory Points to a Surge in Future Finds

The visitor will be hidden behind the Sun at its closest Earth pass, narrowing the window for detailed observations until it reappears after perihelion.

Overview

  • 3I/ATLAS, only the third confirmed interstellar object, is on an inbound path that takes it past Mars next month before its closest approach to Earth occurs behind the Sun.
  • Observations will be constrained during the Sun passage, with scientists targeting pre‑ and post‑perihelion windows to track activity and refine properties.
  • Rubin Observatory imaged 3I/ATLAS during commissioning and has already cataloged more than 2,100 new asteroids, underscoring its capability to catch faint, fast movers.
  • Projected discovery rates for interstellar objects with Rubin vary widely, from about one per year to as many as 70 annually, reflecting large uncertainties in the underlying population.
  • Harvard’s Avi Loeb argues the object could exceed 3 miles across and 33 billion tons and urges a Mars‑orbiter HiRISE check to constrain its size, while observations indicate an active, CO2‑rich comet.