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Intel Shifts Capacity to Servers as Shortages Deepen Into 2026

Intel forecasts its toughest supply crunch in early 2026 with inventories at risk of running out.

Overview

  • Intel warns chip inventories could be exhausted by early 2026, calling the first quarter the most challenging for meeting demand.
  • The company is diverting wafer capacity to data center and AI server processors over entry-level client chips, with Q4 server shipments expected to rise.
  • Shortfalls stem from tight Intel 7 and Intel 10 capacity and industry-wide substrate shortages that Intel expects to persist into 2026.
  • Intel is adjusting pricing and product mix to maximize output, contributing to higher Raptor Lake prices and a tilt toward higher-end SKUs.
  • A slow 18A ramp keeps Panther Lake limited and potentially expensive, and management says new capacity will only follow committed external demand.