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Insurers Seek Steepest ACA Premium Increases Since 2018 Following Subsidy Lapse

Losing enhanced tax credits is fueling insurer requests for median 15% hikes that could double net premiums for lower-income enrollees

A sign on an insurance store advertises Obamacare in San Ysidro, San Diego, California, U.S., October 26, 2017. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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MIAMI, FL - DECEMBER 15:  An Obamacare sign is seen on the UniVista Insurance company office on December 15, 2015 in Miami, Florida. Today, is the deadline to sign up for a plan under the Affordable Care Act for people that want to be insured on January 1, 2016.  (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)
A sign advertising Obamacare health insurance enrollment is viewed outside of a business, on March 12, 2024, in Orlando, Fla.

Overview

  • Insurers in 19 states and D.C. have filed preliminary 2026 rate requests averaging a 15% increase, the largest median hike since 2018.
  • Colorado insurers have sought 28.4% average increases, with filings above 38% in Western Slope and Grand Junction, driven by federal changes and rising costs.
  • The July 4 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act let enhanced 2021–25 ACA premium subsidies expire and imposed new eligibility checks and shortened enrollment.
  • Commonwealth Fund estimates net marketplace premiums could rise 25%–100% depending on income once enhanced tax credits lapse.
  • The CBO projects 4.2 million more uninsured by 2034 if enhanced subsidies are not extended, as healthier enrollees may drop coverage and shrink risk pools.