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Insurers Propose 18% Median Jump in 2026 ACA Marketplace Premiums

Medical cost inflation paired with expiring pandemic subsidies is driving the largest requested increase in seven years pending state regulator decisions.

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Overview

  • A KFF analysis of preliminary filings from 312 insurers across all 50 states and D.C. shows a median requested premium increase of 18% for 2026, more than double last year’s 7% hike.
  • Insurers cite rising hospital, physician and prescription drug costs together with the looming end of enhanced ACA premium tax credits as the main drivers of their rate filings.
  • If Congress does not extend the subsidies set to expire at year‐end, average out‐of‐pocket premiums for subsidized enrollees could jump by over 75% in January, risking about 4 million people leaving the exchanges per CBO estimates.
  • Several major carriers have submitted multiple filings—some planning to refile bids for higher rates after second‐quarter cost reviews and others, including Aetna, preparing to exit select ACA markets in 2026.
  • State insurance regulators are scheduled to review and finalize 2026 marketplace rates by late summer, determining how much of the proposed increases take effect.