Overview
- The INSA-for-Bild poll conducted Oct 17–20 with 2,006 respondents (±2.5 points) finds only 9% say they will definitely vote SPD, while the party records 14% in the Sonntagsfrage.
- AfD leads at 27% and holds 21% secure voters, which INSA’s Hermann Binkert describes as the highest value they have measured for the party.
- CDU/CSU register 24.5% in the Sonntagsfrage, leaving the governing CDU/CSU–SPD pairing on 38.5% combined, short of a Bundestag majority.
- SPD’s voter potential stands at 37%, revealing a large gap between those open to the party and those firmly committed to it.
- In the personal rankings, Defence Minister Boris Pistorius remains the most popular figure at 52.8%.