Overview
- Nationwide vote intention stands at AfD 26 percent and CDU/CSU 25.5 percent, with SPD at 15 percent, Greens 11 percent, Left 10.5 percent, BSW 4 percent and FDP 3 percent.
- Only 49 percent say they would on no account vote for the AfD, the lowest share since Insa began asking the question, which the institute notes marks the party’s best result on this metric.
- Insa’s voter potential estimates point to sizable latent pools: Union 39.5 percent, SPD 39 percent and AfD 33 percent, underscoring fluid support beyond current preferences.
- A black–red combination reaches 40.5 percent in the poll, short of the roughly 44 percent threshold typically needed for a parliamentary majority.
- A parallel North Rhine-Westphalia survey shows the CDU at 36 percent under Hendrik Wüst, with SPD at 19 percent, Greens 12 percent, AfD 16 percent, Left 7 percent and FDP 5 percent.