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2h ago

INSA Poll: AfD Edges Union as Die Linke Overtakes Greens

With many parties below 5%, seat majorities are modeled at roughly 44% of the vote.

Die Partei von Heidi Reichinnek gewinnt an Stimmen hinzu.
Mit ihrer Enthaltung zum Rentenpaket machte die Linke diese Woche Schlagzeilen.

Overview

  • AfD leads with 26% in the Dec. 1–5 INSA snapshot, down one point week over week, with the Union at 25% to narrow the gap to a single point.
  • The SPD holds 15%, while Die Linke rises to 11% to move ahead of the Greens on 10%.
  • FDP and BSW are each at 4% and other parties total 5%, leaving an estimated 13% of votes for parties below the Bundestag threshold.
  • On these figures, standard pairings such as CDU/CSU–SPD (40%) or SPD–Greens–Left (36%) fall short of a majority, and reports note a CDU/CSU–SPD–Green alliance would be required.
  • INSA surveyed 1,206 respondents with a maximum margin of error of ±2.9 percentage points, so the one-point shifts lie within statistical uncertainty.