India's Retail Inflation Drops to 7-Month Low of 3.61% in February
Lower food prices drive inflation below the Reserve Bank of India's 4% target, raising expectations for further rate cuts.
- India's retail inflation fell to 3.61% in February 2025, down from 4.26% in January, marking the lowest level since July 2024.
- Food inflation dropped sharply, with vegetable prices declining by 1.07% year-on-year after an 11.35% increase in January, and pulses also seeing price contractions.
- Core inflation rose to 4%, driven by higher gold costs, while other segments saw little change in contribution to the index.
- Economists expect the Reserve Bank of India to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points in April, following a February rate cut, as inflation remains below the central bank's target of 4%.
- Regional inflation disparities persist, with Kerala recording the highest rate at 7.31% and Telangana the lowest at 1.31%.