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India’s PMI Boom Cools as France Slips Back Into Contraction

Flash PMIs point to policy tailwinds in India versus demand-driven weakness in France.

A commuter train passes by the skyline with its financial district, in Frankfurt, Germany, October 25, 2021.  REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
Employees work on the automobile assembly line of Renault Trafic vehicles at the Renault Sandouville car factory, near Le Havre, France, March 29, 2024. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo
Employees work on their terminals inside the office of Manubhai & Shah LLP, a local accounting firm, in Ahmedabad, India, July 4, 2023. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
The skyline with the banking district is seen during sunset in Frankfurt, Germany, February 27, 2024.  REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

Overview

  • India’s flash composite PMI eased to 61.9 in September from 63.2 in August, with manufacturing at 58.5 and services at 61.6.
  • Hiring lagged output in India as only about 3% of manufacturers and 5% of service providers reported adding staff.
  • Indian price signals diverged as factories raised selling prices at the sharpest pace in nearly 13 years while service-sector charge inflation cooled.
  • Indian firms reported stronger sentiment linked to new GST concessions, though exporters cautioned that higher U.S. tariffs could curb demand.
  • France’s flash composite PMI fell to 48.4, with manufacturing at 48.1 (output 45.9) and services at 48.9, as new orders declined for a 16th straight month and firms trimmed charges despite only marginal job gains.