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India’s Monsoon Arrives Early, Spurs Kharif Sowing Boom

Forecasts of 106% of average rainfall underpin a strong harvest outlook

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Overview

  • The southwest monsoon covered India nine days ahead of the July 8 norm after landing in Kerala on May 24
  • June rainfall measured nearly 9% above the long-term average, improving soil moisture across major farm regions
  • Kharif sowing area climbed 11% year-on-year by the end of June, with rice transplantation surging 47% to 3.5 million hectares
  • Robust early showers are expected to temper food inflation and bolster rural incomes, easing pressure on monetary policy
  • Experts caution that uneven rainfall distribution could trigger waterlogging and crop diseases, underscoring the need for improved forecasting and adaptive infrastructure