Overview
- India’s headline inflation fell to 2.1% in June, its lowest level since January 2019, with food prices slipping 1.06% year-on-year.
- Favorable monsoon forecasts and record crop production have kept food inflation in negative territory, enabling the RBI to deliver a 50-basis-point rate cut in May and consider further easing.
- In the U.S., the Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% month-on-month in June and 2.7% year-on-year, marking a rebound from sub-forecast readings earlier this year.
- Core U.S. inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, accelerated to 2.9% on an annual basis amid higher shelter and tariff-impacted goods costs.
- With tariff pass-through beginning to feed into consumer costs, the Federal Reserve opted to keep its policy rate at 4.25%–4.50% in July pending clearer inflation trends.