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India's Inflation Hits Multi-Year Low as Prices Ease Further in March

Wholesale inflation dropped to 2.05% and retail inflation to 3.34% in March 2025, marking the lowest levels since 2019, driven by falling food and crude oil prices.

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Overview

  • India's Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation fell to 2.05% in March 2025, down from 2.38% in February, reflecting a continued easing trend.
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation dropped to 3.34% in March 2025, the lowest level since August 2019, with food inflation slowing to 2.69%.
  • Key food items, including ginger, tomato, and cauliflower, saw significant price declines, contributing to the overall moderation in inflation.
  • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) revised its inflation forecast for 2025-26 to 4%, citing a positive outlook for food inflation and supportive factors like falling crude oil prices.
  • Global trends, including lower crude oil costs, and strong agricultural output from record wheat and pulse production, are bolstering India's inflation outlook.