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India’s Inflation Falls to Six-Year Low of 2.10%, Boosting Calls for Further Rate Cuts

Favourable base effects coupled with strong crop output have driven consumer inflation to 2.10%, prompting economists to urge fresh rate cuts.

Overview

  • June’s consumer price index eased to 2.10%, the lowest reading since January 2019, marking the eighth consecutive month of slowing inflation.
  • Food price inflation entered deflation at –1.06% as broad-based declines in vegetables, pulses and staples weighed on the consumer basket.
  • The wholesale price index slipped into negative territory at –0.13% in June, its first annual decline in 19 months, driven by lower food and fuel costs.
  • Favourable year-ago comparisons and robust monsoon-linked harvests underpinned the sharp disinflation and widened the Reserve Bank of India’s scope for additional rate cuts.
  • Policymakers remain vigilant on core inflation trends, monsoon distribution and evolving global tariff risks that could alter the near-term price outlook.