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India’s Inflation Falls to Six-Year Low of 2.10%, Boosting Calls for Further Rate Cuts

Favourable base effects coupled with strong crop output have driven consumer inflation to 2.10%, prompting economists to urge fresh rate cuts.

Customers buy fruits and vegetables at an open air evening market in Ahmedabad, India, August 21, 2023. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
A teller counts U.S. dollar bank notes at a money changer in Jakarta, Indonesia, April 9, 2025. Picture taken through glass. REUTERS/Willy Kurniawan/ File Photo
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Statistics Canada is set to release June inflation figures on Tuesday. A person pumps fuel in Toronto, on Wednesday, September 12, 2012. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Michelle Siu

Overview

  • June’s consumer price index eased to 2.10%, the lowest reading since January 2019, marking the eighth consecutive month of slowing inflation.
  • Food price inflation entered deflation at –1.06% as broad-based declines in vegetables, pulses and staples weighed on the consumer basket.
  • The wholesale price index slipped into negative territory at –0.13% in June, its first annual decline in 19 months, driven by lower food and fuel costs.
  • Favourable year-ago comparisons and robust monsoon-linked harvests underpinned the sharp disinflation and widened the Reserve Bank of India’s scope for additional rate cuts.
  • Policymakers remain vigilant on core inflation trends, monsoon distribution and evolving global tariff risks that could alter the near-term price outlook.