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India’s Bank Credit Growth Slows to 9.9% as Export Lending Cools Under New US Tariffs

RBI data point to a broad slowdown despite lower lending rates.

Overview

  • Non-food bank credit rose 9.9% year on year as of July 25, down from 13.6% a year earlier.
  • Export credit under priority lending slowed to 4.7% year on year by July 25, following a US move on Aug. 27 to add a 25% tariff that lifted duties to 50% on sectors including textiles, gems and jewellery, seafood and auto parts.
  • Industry credit growth moderated to 6% in July, with June data showing 7.6% year-on-year growth and a slightly smaller share of total bank credit.
  • Credit to NBFCs grew just 2.6% year on year in July, while lending to the services sector expanded 10.6% versus 14.5% a year earlier.
  • Monetary transmission continued as the weighted average lending rate fell 39 basis points in April–June and the share of loans priced below 9% rose to 54.1% in June.