Overview
- Kickoff is Monday, Jan. 19 at 7:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium, where Miami plays as the visiting team in its home venue.
- Sportsbooks list Indiana as an 8.5-point favorite with a total around 47.5, while ESPN’s model gives the Hoosiers a 68.3% win probability.
- Prediction market trading on Kalshi has stabilized around roughly 74% for Indiana to win since the matchup was set.
- A poll of 25 coaches at the AFCA convention saw 22 pick Indiana, reflecting broad confidence in Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza and IU’s balance.
- Key factors highlighted include Miami’s rush threat with Mark Fletcher Jr. against Indiana’s top-tier run defense, the Hurricanes’ pass rush led by Rueben Bain Jr., and steep local demand driving ticket and parking resale prices on StubHub.