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Indiana Is the First Big Test of Trump’s Mid‑Decade Redistricting After Supreme Court Texas Win

The state Senate’s uncertain vote will show whether Trump’s court‑fueled strategy can convert pressure on GOP legislators into additional House seats.

Overview

  • Indiana’s Senate reconvened to take up a Trump-backed map after a 57–41 House passage, with leaders saying support remains uncertain ahead of a final vote expected Thursday.
  • The proposal would likely shift the state’s U.S. House delegation from 7–2 to 9–0 Republican, triggering a sustained push from the White House and allied groups with ads, rallies and primary threats.
  • Last week’s Supreme Court order allowed Texas to use its disputed congressional map, clearing a major legal obstacle and positioning Republicans to gain about five seats there.
  • Analysts estimate the mid‑decade redraws could tilt roughly a dozen House seats toward Republicans, with Democrats mounting counters in states such as California and Virginia.
  • Democrats are centering 2026 messaging on affordability after recent wins, while a new Save America Seats initiative plans to raise $100 million to target GOP-held districts.